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Paper comparison

Compare the Three Papers

The three papers answer different questions. Carry each paper’s study type and limitation with any result you cite.

Modeled U.S. projection

Xiao et al. (2025)

Supports: an estimated U.S. AI-server water-use range of 731–1,125 million m³ per year, with 71% indirect and 29% direct in the modeled total.

Does not support: treating the result as facility meter data or a universal per-prompt value.

Nature Sustainability article and DOI

Workload-level assessment

Lei et al. (2025)

Supports: more than 10,000-fold variation in estimated water use across data-center workloads, shaped by workload efficiency, cooling, electricity, climate, and utilization.

Does not support: assigning one water value to every AI request or commercial service.

Resources, Conservation & Recycling DOI · DOE/LBNL record

Screening-level risk study

Jager and Yoon (2026)

Data centers: an emerging threat to freshwater biodiversity in the United States

Supports: screening potential pathways involving thermal effects, lower-quality discharge, water stress, entrainment, and altered flows.

Does not support: claiming demonstrated ecological or drinking-water harm at a particular facility.

Water Biology and Security article and DOI

Comparison at a glance

PaperEvidence formScaleBest use in this moduleRequired qualifier
Xiao et al.Projection/modelUnited StatesDirect versus indirect AI-server water useModeled scenario, not meters
Lei et al.Workload assessmentWorkload and infrastructure combinationsWhy estimates varyBroad data-center workloads
Jager and YoonRisk screeningData-center water and ecosystem pathwaysWhat local quality evidence to requestPotential risk, not demonstrated harm