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Paper comparison
Compare the Three Papers
The three papers answer different questions. Carry each paper’s study type and limitation with any result you cite.
Modeled U.S. projection
Xiao et al. (2025)
Supports: an estimated U.S. AI-server water-use range of 731–1,125 million m³ per year, with 71% indirect and 29% direct in the modeled total.
Does not support: treating the result as facility meter data or a universal per-prompt value.
Nature Sustainability article and DOI
Workload-level assessment
Lei et al. (2025)
Supports: more than 10,000-fold variation in estimated water use across data-center workloads, shaped by workload efficiency, cooling, electricity, climate, and utilization.
Does not support: assigning one water value to every AI request or commercial service.
Resources, Conservation & Recycling DOI · DOE/LBNL record
Screening-level risk study
Jager and Yoon (2026)
Data centers: an emerging threat to freshwater biodiversity in the United States
Supports: screening potential pathways involving thermal effects, lower-quality discharge, water stress, entrainment, and altered flows.
Does not support: claiming demonstrated ecological or drinking-water harm at a particular facility.
Water Biology and Security article and DOI